Figure: true baseline hazards

Fig: Number of events

Fig: average bias

Fig: coverage

Fig: average bias and confidence interval

Fig: average bias in the presence of false positive tests

Fig: Amount of false positive test

## # A tibble: 12 × 4
## # Groups:   inspectLength, Scenarios_text [6]
##    inspectLength Scenarios_text           pct                       m
##            <dbl> <fct>                    <fct>                 <dbl>
##  1           0.5 Low mortality rates      Incorrect event time 13.7  
##  2           0.5 Low mortality rates      Additional events     0.787
##  3           0.5 Moderate mortality rates Incorrect event time 14.5  
##  4           0.5 Moderate mortality rates Additional events     1.08 
##  5           0.5 High mortality rates     Incorrect event time 16.1  
##  6           0.5 High mortality rates     Additional events     1.71 
##  7           1   Low mortality rates      Incorrect event time 25.9  
##  8           1   Low mortality rates      Additional events     3.12 
##  9           1   Moderate mortality rates Incorrect event time 31.1  
## 10           1   Moderate mortality rates Additional events     5.06 
## 11           1   High mortality rates     Incorrect event time 33.9  
## 12           1   High mortality rates     Additional events     8.37

Table: Failed simulation

Failed simulation (percentage) for the idm.SLV model

Scenarios

High frequency

Low frequency

1

1.0

2.4

2

0.2

0.2

3

0.7

4.1

4

0.1

0.9

5

0.9

5.4

6

0

0.2

7

0

0

8

0

0.8

9

0

0

10

0

1.2

11

0

0

12

0

0

13

0

0

14

0

0

15

0

0

Table: ASPREE data, Number of events

This table requires aspree data to populate

Table: regression coeficient of aspree data

Wide table format

model Transition 0 -> 1 Transition 0 -> 2 Transition 1 -> 2
beta HR 95% CI beta HR 95% CI beta HR 95% CI
fd.D 0.57 1.78 1.35; 2.34 — — — — — —
fd.LV 0.58 1.79 1.36; 2.36 — — — — — —
fd.LNV 0.59 1.80 1.36; 2.37 — — — — — —
fd.SLV 0.62 1.86 1.41; 2.46 — — — — — —
mp.D 0.56 1.75 1.33; 2.30 — — — — — —
mp.LV 0.56 1.76 1.33; 2.32 — — — — — —
mp.LNV 0.57 1.77 1.34; 2.33 — — — — — —
mp.SLV 0.60 1.82 1.38; 2.40 — — — — — —
ic.D 0.56 1.75 3.76; 10.07 — — — — — —
ic.LV 0.56 1.76 3.78; 10.24 — — — — — —
ic.LNV 0.57 1.77 3.80; 10.41 — — — — — —
ic.SLV 0.60 1.82 3.93; 11.38 — — — — — —
idm.LV 0.53 1.69 1.28; 2.23 0.50 1.65 1.38; 1.97 -0.75 0.47 0.15; 1.51
idm.LNV 0.53 1.70 1.28; 2.24 0.50 1.65 1.38; 1.97 -0.72 0.48 0.15; 1.54
idm.SLV 0.49 1.64 1.22; 2.19 0.53 1.69 1.40; 2.04 -0.71 0.49 0.16; 1.46